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Myanmar
Conflict Map

Myanmar Conflict Updates

A monthly analysis covering key dynamics, conflict trends, and political developments related to the ongoing crisis in Myanmar.

January 2024 1055 new events
Problems extend beyond battlefield for Myanmar’s battered regime

Poor decision-making and an inflexible strategy are compounding the junta’s losses and driving discontent among army commanders.

Events from December 2023
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Attack/armed clash
678
Air/drone strike
227
Remote explosives/IEDs
78
Infrastructure destruction
71
Crackdowns
1
Northeast
330
Rakhine
173
Dry Zone
172
Southeast
146
Northwest
129
Lower Myanmar
105
December 2023 1114 new events
Is Myanmar’s regime at risk of collapse?

Three powerful ethnic armies have delivered a severe blow to the regime in Myanmar’s northern Shan State. But elsewhere in the country the outlook is mixed.

Events from November 2023
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Attack/armed clash
829
Air/drone strike
164
Remote explosives/IEDs
68
Infrastructure destruction
53
Crackdowns
0
Northeast
407
Northwest
185
Southeast
170
Dry Zone
162
Rakhine
107
Lower Myanmar
83
November 2023 893 new events
Operation 1027 reshapes Myanmar’s post-coup war

A powerful ethnic alliance with close ties to China has inflicted on the Myanmar regime its worst battlefield setback in decades and inspired a wave of attacks by other opponents across the country. But unless the military suffers a total collapse of cohesion and morale, the regime is likely to fight on.

Events from October 2023
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Attack/armed clash
619
Infrastructure destruction
99
Air/drone strike
97
Remote explosives/IEDs
77
Crackdowns
1
Dry Zone
313
Northeast
279
Southeast
136
Lower Myanmar
80
Northwest
79
Rakhine
6
October 2023 805 new events
Myanmar regime brings significant escalation to the doorstep of key opponent

A regime offensive aims to break the military alliance between the Kachin Independence Army and resistance forces fighting in central Myanmar.

Events from September 2023
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Attack/armed clash
578
Infrastructure destruction
89
Air/drone strike
87
Remote explosives/IEDs
51
Crackdowns
0
Dry Zone
249
Northeast
210
Southeast
167
Northwest
111
Lower Myanmar
63
Rakhine
5
September 2023 818 new events
Fighting rages along Myanmar’s transport routes

The junta’s opponents are contesting roads, rivers and railways throughout the country, but the regime retains sufficient control over supply lines to sustain its offensives.

Events from July 2023
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Attack/armed clash
644
Infrastructure destruction
93
Remote explosives/IEDs
89
Air/drone strike
86
Crackdowns
0
Dry Zone
281
Southeast
236
Northeast
170
Northwest
116
Lower Myanmar
103
Rakhine
6
Events from August 2023
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Attack/armed clash
568
Infrastructure destruction
99
Air/drone strike
79
Remote explosives/IEDs
71
Crackdowns
1
Dry Zone
291
Southeast
172
Northeast
147
Northwest
116
Lower Myanmar
92
Rakhine
0
July 2023 814 new events
Junta tactics shift in Myanmar’s war-torn Dry Zone

To counter the rise of new armed groups, the junta and its proxies have razed an estimated 53,000 civilian homes across Myanmar’s Dry Zone, the epicentre of the resistance movement. Beginning in 2023, however, junta forces appeared to shift tactics, launching a more-direct assault on resistance groups.

Events from June 2023
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Attack/armed clash
535
Remote explosives/IEDs
102
Infrastructure destruction
91
Air/drone strike
86
Crackdowns
0
Dry Zone
288
Southeast
231
Northeast
107
Northwest
107
Lower Myanmar
80
Rakhine
1
June 2023 603 new events
Battle for Kayah is key for Myanmar junta and its opponents

The battle for Kayah State, which is strategically located between resistance strongholds in the Dry Zone and the southeast, is now the longest episode of sustained, relatively high-intensity combat since Myanmar’s post-coup war began.

Events from May 2023
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Attack/armed clash
390
Remote explosives/IEDs
89
Air/drone strike
65
Infrastructure destruction
59
Crackdowns
0
Southeast
190
Dry Zone
167
Northwest
99
Northeast
90
Lower Myanmar
56
Rakhine
1
May 2023 610 new events
Myanmar’s conflict intensifies as use of firepower expands

The Myanmar military is ramping up pressure on resistance forces and their civilian supporters with increasingly destructive displays of firepower. Violence is intensifying, and the humanitarian crisis is worsening.

Events from April 2023
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Attack/armed clash
383
Remote explosives/IEDs
80
Infrastructure destruction
80
Air/drone strike
66
Crackdowns
1
Dry Zone
184
Southeast
184
Northeast
95
Northwest
94
Lower Myanmar
51
Rakhine
2